Price band
$800K – $2M
- Active
- 3081
- Median PPSF
- $385
- Median DOM
- 43days
Weekly signal
Last 13 weeks
3081 active listings; median days on market 43 days. The bridge tier: luxury-adjacent entry, broadest active pool.
Yong's Weekly Read
June 8 to 14
Phoenix metro · Supply pulse · Yong's read
At a glance
The week, in six numbers.
New listings
2,109
+1.9%WoW+4.8%YoY
4-week average
1922.0
Smoothed signal
52-week average
1928.6
Long-run baseline
Week-over-week
+1.9%
vs prior ISO week
Year-over-year
+4.8%
vs same week last year
Months of supply
2.6mo
Trailing 12 · sellers
The read
Week of June 8-14, 2026, in Yong's words.
Phoenix metro recorded 2,109 new listings in the ISO week ending 2026-06-14, a count that edged up +1.9% versus the prior week. Compared to the same calendar week one year ago, the count printed 4.8% above that mark, a noticeable swing year-over-year.
The week ran 9.7% above the trailing 4-week average of 1922.0 listings and 9.4% above the 52-week long-run baseline of 1928.6. Across the full 12-week window the supply pulse held its shape, with no meaningful directional move in the line.
Recent absorption pace puts months-of-supply at 2.3 months on the trailing-3-month gauge, with the long-run trailing-12 gauge at 2.6. By that ratio the metro classifies as a seller’s market, the gauge below telegraphs where the metro sits on the buyer-to-seller spectrum.
Inside the latest closed cohort, negotiation pressure tilted modestly toward buyers: 13.5% of closings printed above list, 53.0% below. Sellers showed real concession discipline; 30% of closed listings cut their list price before going pending.
Written by
Yong Choi
Global Real Estate Advisor
Luxury bands · price per sqft, days on market, closings
The price arc, band by band.
Active snapshot · 2026-06-21
Price band
$2M – $5M
- Active
- 804
- Median PPSF
- $670
- Median DOM
- 64days
Weekly signal
Last 13 weeks
804 active listings; median days on market 64 days. The most actively transacting luxury band.
Price band
$5M – $10M
- Active
- 192
- Median PPSF
- $1,002
- Median DOM
- 82days
Weekly signal
Last 13 weeks
192 active listings; median days on market 82 days. Selective inventory; representation-driven, longer time horizons.
Price band
$10M+
- Active
- 59
- Median PPSF
- $1,519
- Median DOM
- 84days
Weekly signal
Last 13 weeks
59 active listings; median days on market 84 days. Ultra-luxury; off-market share is meaningful, so the published count understates true activity.
Active ÷ trailing closings · Phoenix metro
Months of supply.
Seller’s market
Phoenix metro · 3-month gaugeBuyer-leaningBalancedSeller-leaning
Strong buyers
Buyers
Balanced
Sellers
Strong sellers
↑ 2.26 mo
3-month gauge
2.26mo
Most current. Closings T3M
12-month gauge
2.60mo
Long-run. Closings T12M
Active inventory
22,831
IDX-displayable across the metro
Inventory clears faster than the year’s average pace. Sellers retain leverage on well-priced listings.
From supply to the deal
What sellers gave.
What buyers paid.
Negotiation pulse
What the gap looked like.
Monthly snapshot · May 2026
Median gap to list
0.7% below
-0.7%-0.7pp YoY
Closed sale ÷ list
Closed over asking
13.5%
Share of closings
Closed below asking
53.0%
Share of closings
Buyers are negotiating a modest gap off list. Selective seller leverage holds.
Sellers blinking
Reductions inside the close pool.
Monthly snapshot · May 2026 · n = 9,388 closings
Closings with a reduction
29.6%
At least one cut from list
Typical reduction depth
3.5%
Median net change from original list
Sellers are giving ground on a meaningful share of listings. Selective buyer leverage.
How we read the market
Three inputs.
- 01
ARMLS recorded transactions
1.84M Valley records · refreshed every 4 hours
The full set of MLS-listed transactions. Source-of-record for headline volume + closed-price stats.
- 02
Public deed filings
County recorder · weekly cross-reference
Captures recorded transactions that didn’t pass through the MLS, including off-market trades, intra-family transfers, and entity-to-entity sales.
- 03
Private RLSIR registry
Off-market trades facilitated by the network
Yong’s and the Russ Lyon Sotheby’s International Realty network’s direct knowledge of pocket trades, club-membership-driven transfers, and pre-MLS introductions.
Weekly cadence reports the supply pulse (new-listing cadence + rolling averages) at metro granularity. Monthly cadence reports the full stat suite: median price-per-sqft, median days-on-market, transaction volume, and inventory tier breakdown. Adjustments are noted inline where applicable.