Yong's Monthly Read

August 2024

Phoenix metro · Full stat suite · Yong's read

At a glance

The month, in six numbers.

Median PPSF

$257

+0.5%YoY

Median DOM

63days

+3.3%MoM+16.7%YoY

Closings

8,624

-2.9%MoM-5.7%YoY

Closed volume

$3438.2M

-6.7%YoY

New listings

7,871

Phoenix metro · monthly total

Months of supply

2.7mo

Trailing 12 · sellers

The read

August 2024, in Yong's words.

Phoenix metro closed 8,624 residential transactions in August 2024, with aggregate dollar volume of $3438.15M. Volume pulled back -5.7% year-over-year. Median price-per-square-foot landed at $257.

Median days on market sat at 63 days, 16.7% longer than a year ago. Across the trailing twelve months the median price-per-sqft trend held its shape, with no meaningful directional move in the line.

Recent absorption pace puts months-of-supply at 2.6 months on the trailing-3-month gauge, with the long-run trailing-12 gauge at 2.7. By that ratio the metro classifies as a seller’s market, the gauge below telegraphs where the metro sits on the buyer-to-seller spectrum.

Inside the latest closed cohort, negotiation pressure tilted modestly toward buyers: 11.8% of closings printed above list, 48.2% below. Sellers showed real concession discipline; 34% of closed listings cut their list price before going pending.

Portrait of Yong Choi

Written by

Yong Choi

Global Real Estate Advisor

Luxury bands · price per sqft, days on market, closings

The price arc, band by band.

Active snapshot · 2026-08-24

Estancia, an entry-to-luxury enclave in north Scottsdale

Price band

$800K – $2M

Active
2980
Median PPSF
$382
Median DOM
56days

Twelve-month signal

Last 12 months

2980 active listings; median days on market 56 days. The bridge tier: luxury-adjacent entry, broadest active pool.

Paradise Valley, the quintessential mid-luxury Phoenix market

Price band

$2M – $5M

Active
767
Median PPSF
$676
Median DOM
76days

Twelve-month signal

Last 12 months

767 active listings; median days on market 76 days. The most actively transacting luxury band.

Desert Mountain, a premier guard-gated community at the upper luxury tier

Price band

$5M – $10M

Active
186
Median PPSF
$1,046
Median DOM
89days

Twelve-month signal

Last 12 months

186 active listings; median days on market 89 days. Selective inventory; representation-driven, longer time horizons.

Silverleaf at DC Ranch, the top of the Phoenix luxury market

Price band

$10M+

Active
58
Median PPSF
$1,499
Median DOM
153days

Twelve-month signal

Last 12 months

58 active listings; median days on market 153 days. Ultra-luxury; off-market share is meaningful, so the published count understates true activity.

Active ÷ trailing closings · Phoenix metro

Months of supply.

Seller’s market

Phoenix metro · 3-month gaugeBuyer-leaningBalancedSeller-leaning
Strong buyers
Buyers
Balanced
Sellers
Strong sellers
2.56 mo

3-month gauge

2.56mo

Most current. Closings T3M

12-month gauge

2.69mo

Long-run. Closings T12M

Active inventory

23,835

IDX-displayable across the metro

Inventory clears faster than the year’s average pace. Sellers retain leverage on well-priced listings.

From supply to the deal

What sellers gave.
What buyers paid.

Negotiation pulse

What the gap looked like.

Monthly snapshot · July 2026

Median gap to list

At list

Steadyvs prior

Closed sale ÷ list

Closed over asking

11.8%

Share of closings

Closed below asking

48.2%

Share of closings

Buyers are paying at or above list. A thin negotiation window.

Sellers blinking

Reductions inside the close pool.

Monthly snapshot · July 2026 · n = 8,997 closings

Closings with a reduction

33.8%

At least one cut from list

Typical reduction depth

4.6%

Median net change from original list

Sellers are giving ground on a meaningful share of listings. Selective buyer leverage.

How we read the market

Three inputs.

  1. 01

    Recorded market transactions

    1.84M Valley records · refreshed every 4 hours

    The full set of recorded listing-and-sale transactions across the Valley. Source-of-record for headline volume + closed-price stats.

  2. 02

    Public deed filings

    County recorder · weekly cross-reference

    Captures recorded transactions that weren’t publicly listed, including off-market trades, intra-family transfers, and entity-to-entity sales.

  3. 03

    Private RLSIR registry

    Off-market trades facilitated by the network

    Yong’s and the Russ Lyon Sotheby’s International Realty network’s direct knowledge of pocket trades, club-membership-driven transfers, and pre-listing introductions.

Weekly cadence reports the supply pulse (new-listing cadence + rolling averages) at metro granularity. Monthly cadence reports the full stat suite: median price-per-sqft, median days-on-market, transaction volume, and inventory tier breakdown. Adjustments are noted inline where applicable.