Price band
$800K – $2M
- Active
- 3031
- Median PPSF
- $391
- Median DOM
- 42days
Weekly signal
Last 13 weeks
3031 active listings; median days on market 42 days. The bridge tier: luxury-adjacent entry, broadest active pool.
Yong's Weekly Read
May 11 to 17
Phoenix metro · Supply pulse · Yong's read
At a glance
The week, in six numbers.
New listings
2,069
-0.7%WoW+0.8%YoY
4-week average
1893.0
Smoothed signal
52-week average
1906.8
Long-run baseline
Week-over-week
-0.7%
vs prior ISO week
Year-over-year
+0.8%
vs same week last year
Months of supply
2.5mo
Trailing 12 · sellers
The read
Week of May 11-17, 2026, in Yong's words.
Phoenix metro recorded 2,069 new listings in the ISO week ending 2026-05-17. Year-over-year comparison data is not yet available for this calendar week.
The week ran 9.3% above the trailing 4-week average of 1893.0 listings and 8.5% above the 52-week long-run baseline of 1906.8. Across the full 12-week window the supply pulse held its shape, with no meaningful directional move in the line.
Recent absorption pace puts months-of-supply at 2.3 months on the trailing-3-month gauge, with the long-run trailing-12 gauge at 2.5. By that ratio the metro classifies as a seller’s market, the gauge below telegraphs where the metro sits on the buyer-to-seller spectrum.
Inside the latest closed cohort, negotiation pressure tilted modestly toward buyers: 12.6% of closings printed above list, 49.5% below. Roughly 13% of closed listings cut their list price before going pending.
Written by
Yong Choi
Global Real Estate Advisor
Luxury bands · price per sqft, days on market, closings
The price arc, band by band.
Active snapshot · 2026-06-04
Price band
$2M – $5M
- Active
- 843
- Median PPSF
- $678
- Median DOM
- 59days
Weekly signal
Last 13 weeks
843 active listings; median days on market 59 days. The most actively transacting luxury band.
Price band
$5M – $10M
- Active
- 197
- Median PPSF
- $993
- Median DOM
- 76days
Weekly signal
Last 13 weeks
197 active listings; median days on market 76 days. Selective inventory; representation-driven, longer time horizons.
Price band
$10M+
- Active
- 65
- Median PPSF
- $1,432
- Median DOM
- 72days
Weekly signal
Last 13 weeks
65 active listings; median days on market 72 days. Ultra-luxury; off-market share is meaningful, so the published count understates true activity.
Active ÷ trailing closings · Phoenix metro
Months of supply.
Seller’s market
Phoenix metro · 3-month gaugeBuyer-leaningBalancedSeller-leaning
Strong buyers
Buyers
Balanced
Sellers
Strong sellers
↑ 2.27 mo
3-month gauge
2.27mo
Most current. Closings T3M
12-month gauge
2.50mo
Long-run. Closings T12M
Active inventory
21,824
IDX-displayable across the metro
Inventory clears faster than the year’s average pace. Sellers retain leverage on well-priced listings.
From supply to the deal
What sellers gave.
What buyers paid.
Negotiation pulse
What the gap looked like.
Monthly snapshot · April 2026
Median gap to list
At list
Steadyvs prior
Closed sale ÷ list
Closed over asking
12.6%
Share of closings
Closed below asking
49.5%
Share of closings
Buyers are paying at or above list. A thin negotiation window.
Sellers blinking
Reductions inside the close pool.
Monthly snapshot · April 2026 · n = 10,407 closings
Closings with a reduction
13.2%
At least one cut from list
Typical reduction depth
3.4%
Median net change from original list
Restrained price-cutting. Sellers are holding their initial ask in most segments.
How we read the market
Three inputs.
- 01
ARMLS recorded transactions
1.84M Valley records · refreshed every 4 hours
The full set of MLS-listed transactions. Source-of-record for headline volume + closed-price stats.
- 02
Public deed filings
County recorder · weekly cross-reference
Captures recorded transactions that didn’t pass through the MLS, including off-market trades, intra-family transfers, and entity-to-entity sales.
- 03
Private RLSIR registry
Off-market trades facilitated by the network
Yong’s and the Russ Lyon Sotheby’s International Realty network’s direct knowledge of pocket trades, club-membership-driven transfers, and pre-MLS introductions.
Weekly cadence reports the supply pulse (new-listing cadence + rolling averages) at metro granularity. Monthly cadence reports the full stat suite: median price-per-sqft, median days-on-market, transaction volume, and inventory tier breakdown. Adjustments are noted inline where applicable.